Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Alexey Toropchenko

STL·F#13

@LAK

Latest captured market

Apr 1 · 9:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 343 game sample

PTS: 17.6
SOG: 93.6
G: 7.0

A: 10.6
PPP: 0.1
HIT: 186.2
BLK: 62.1
PIM: 32.6

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 343 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 343 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 343 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.21
G: 0.08
A: 0.13
SOG: 1.14
PPP: 0.00
HIT: 2.28
BLK: 0.76
PIM: 0.40

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	65	4	7	11	0.17	68	11:59
2024-25	80	4	14	18	0.23	90	12:29
2023-24	82	14	7	21	0.26	114	12:31
2022-23	69	10	9	19	0.28	86	12:05
2021-22	28	2	0	2	0.07	43	10:43

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2024-25	7	2	2	4	0.57	8	14:04
2021-22	12	0	2	2	0.17	9	8:50

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 1 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	G	A	HIT	BLK	TOI
Apr 16	@ UTA	1	0	0	1	0	14:25
Apr 14	vs PIT	1	0	1	4	0	12:47
Apr 13	vs MIN	0	0	1	1	1	11:44
Apr 11	@ CHI	2	1	0	4	0	14:20
Apr 9	vs WPG	1	0	0	3	0	10:56
Apr 7	vs COL	1	0	0	2	2	8:24
Apr 5	@ COL	0	0	0	0	1	12:19
Apr 1	@ LAK	4	0	0	3	0	8:48
Mar 30	@ SJS	0	0	0	2	1	10:38
Mar 28	vs TOR	3	0	0	1	0	11:37

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	7.5	4	minus 3.5 goals above expected	49	91
2024-25	9.1	4	minus 5.1 goals above expected	58	123
2023-24	13.3	14	plus 0.7 goals above expected	65	146
2022-23	9.8	10	plus 0.2 goals above expected	56	103
2021-22	4.4	2	minus 2.4 goals above expected	25	59

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	3 goals, 6 assists, 9 points	0-0-0	1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points
2024-25	4 goals, 14 assists, 18 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-24	12 goals, 7 assists, 19 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points
2022-23	9 goals, 9 assists, 18 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2021-22	2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

91 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (23)Shot on goal (64)Goal (4)

Markets · Apr 1

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.1

P(over)

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.