Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 364 game sample- PTS
- 24.1
- SOG
- 157.3
- G
- 6.8
- A
- 17.2
- PPP
- 0.7
- HIT
- 141.0
- BLK
- 117.0
- PIM
- 53.8
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 364 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 364 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 364 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.29
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.21
- SOG
- 1.92
- PPP
- 0.01
- HIT
- 1.72
- BLK
- 1.43
- PIM
- 0.66
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 0.38 | 179 | 21:49 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 0.20 | 144 | 16:50 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 0.36 | 150 | 19:14 |
| 2022-23 | 70 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 0.19 | 94 | 14:50 |
| 2021-22 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | 18 | 18:22 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.16 | 27 | 22:38 |
| 2024-25 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.25 | 24 | 18:25 |
| 2023-24 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 16 | 18:04 |
| 2022-23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 13:44 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23:50 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20:05 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 22:17 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 34:20 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20:32 |
| Jun 2 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22:19 |
| May 29 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:01 |
| May 27 | @ MTLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 |
| May 25 | @ MTLPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 27:26 |
| May 23 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20:32 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 10.1 | 9 | minus 1.1 goals above expected | 78 | 262 |
| 2024-25 | 8.6 | 5 | minus 3.6 goals above expected | 73 | 222 |
| 2023-24 | 7.6 | 10 | plus 2.4 goals above expected | 73 | 206 |
| 2022-23 | 5.1 | 3 | minus 2.1 goals above expected | 59 | 128 |
| 2021-22 | 0.7 | 0 | minus 0.7 goals above expected | 5 | 22 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9 goals, 19 assists, 28 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 5 goals, 11 assists, 16 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 8 goals, 17 assists, 25 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points |
| 2022-23 | 3 goals, 9 assists, 12 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
262 attempts · 9 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.