Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 73 game sample- PTS
- 33.8
- SOG
- 96.0
- G
- 6.8
- A
- 26.9
- PPP
- 3.4
- HIT
- 115.5
- BLK
- 85.1
- PIM
- 126.9
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 73 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 73 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 73 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.41
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.33
- SOG
- 1.16
- PPP
- 0.04
- HIT
- 1.41
- BLK
- 1.04
- PIM
- 1.56
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 70 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 0.41 | 80 | 18:45 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | 5 | 15:15 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:41 |
| May 1 | @ MTLPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:29 |
| Apr 19 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:35 |
| Apr 15 | vs NYR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:45 |
| Apr 13 | vs DET | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17:35 |
| Apr 11 | @ BOS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21:02 |
| Apr 9 | @ MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9:12 |
| Apr 7 | @ OTT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19:43 |
| Apr 6 | @ BUF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:02 |
| Apr 4 | vs BOS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 7 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5.5 | 6 | plus 0.5 goals above expected | 58 | 125 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 21 assists, 27 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
125 attempts · 6 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 7
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.