Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 321 game sample- PTS
- 37.0
- SOG
- 119.9
- G
- 7.8
- A
- 29.2
- PPP
- 8.7
- HIT
- 55.7
- BLK
- 139.1
- PIM
- 64.1
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 321 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 321 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 321 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.45
- G
- 0.09
- A
- 0.36
- SOG
- 1.46
- PPP
- 0.11
- HIT
- 0.67
- BLK
- 1.70
- PIM
- 0.78
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 60 | 5 | 22 | 27 | 0.45 | 84 | 19:16 |
| 2024-25 | 30 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 0.37 | 39 | 20:39 |
| 2023-24 | 76 | 9 | 32 | 41 | 0.54 | 142 | 22:43 |
| 2022-23 | 72 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 0.53 | 110 | 19:47 |
| 2021-22 | 64 | 3 | 24 | 27 | 0.42 | 119 | 19:36 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | 5 | 16:53 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 5 | 16:01 |
| 2021-22 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.43 | 16 | 21:30 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:42 |
| Apr 29 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 19:04 |
| Apr 27 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 20:47 |
| Apr 24 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15:30 |
| Apr 21 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 |
| Apr 19 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:04 |
| Apr 14 | vs WPG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:46 |
| Apr 12 | @ CGY | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:50 |
| Apr 11 | vs CAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:34 |
| Apr 9 | vs NSH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:55 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 7 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5.2 | 5 | minus 0.2 goals above expected | 52 | 142 |
| 2024-25 | 3.1 | 4 | plus 0.9 goals above expected | 25 | 68 |
| 2023-24 | 9.1 | 9 | minus 0.1 goals above expected | 70 | 203 |
| 2022-23 | 6.1 | 9 | plus 2.9 goals above expected | 64 | 157 |
| 2021-22 | 6.7 | 3 | minus 3.7 goals above expected | 58 | 150 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5 goals, 18 assists, 23 points | 0 goals, 4 assists, 4 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 3 goals, 6 assists, 9 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 6 goals, 19 assists, 25 points | 3 goals, 13 assists, 16 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 8 goals, 14 assists, 22 points | 1 goal, 15 assists, 16 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 1 goal, 10 assists, 11 points | 2 goals, 13 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
Shot locations
142 attempts · 5 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 7
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.