Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 291 game sample- PTS
- 33.9
- SOG
- 102.7
- G
- 10.7
- A
- 23.2
- PPP
- 0.3
- HIT
- 158.5
- BLK
- 151.2
- PIM
- 29.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 291 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 291 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 291 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.41
- G
- 0.13
- A
- 0.28
- SOG
- 1.25
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.94
- BLK
- 1.85
- PIM
- 0.36
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 78 | 13 | 28 | 41 | 0.53 | 109 | 22:50 |
| 2024-25 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 0.23 | 52 | 19:18 |
| 2023-24 | 41 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0.17 | 44 | 20:30 |
| 2022-23 | 55 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 0.18 | 76 | 22:11 |
| 2021-22 | 42 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 0.24 | 44 | 19:59 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0.54 | 19 | 22:22 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18 | vs MTLPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28:35 |
| May 16 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22:53 |
| May 14 | vs MTLPO | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 25:27 |
| May 12 | @ MTLPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 23:47 |
| May 10 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 23:05 |
| May 8 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19:47 |
| May 6 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:35 |
| May 1 | @ BOSPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22:36 |
| Apr 28 | vs BOSPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 26:13 |
| Apr 26 | @ BOSPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:55 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7.8 | 13 | plus 5.2 goals above expected | 67 | 163 |
| 2024-25 | 1.9 | 4 | plus 2.1 goals above expected | 40 | 78 |
| 2023-24 | 1.3 | 1 | minus 0.3 goals above expected | 36 | 61 |
| 2022-23 | 4.2 | 2 | minus 2.2 goals above expected | 49 | 103 |
| 2021-22 | 2.1 | 0 | minus 2.1 goals above expected | 28 | 57 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 goals, 26 assists, 38 points | 0-0-0 | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 9 assists, 13 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 1 goal, 6 assists, 7 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 2 goals, 7 assists, 9 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 0 goals, 10 assists, 10 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
163 attempts · 13 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.