Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Jesperi Kotkaniemi

CAR·F#82

vsLAK

Latest captured market

Feb 1 · 3:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 401 game sample

PTS: 27.5
SOG: 109.4
G: 9.3

A: 18.2
PPP: 2.5
HIT: 96.3
BLK: 33.4
PIM: 38.4

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 401 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 401 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 401 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.33
G: 0.11
A: 0.22
SOG: 1.33
PPP: 0.03
HIT: 1.17
BLK: 0.40
PIM: 0.47

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	42	2	7	9	0.21	42	11:21
2024-25	78	12	21	33	0.42	115	14:04
2023-24	79	12	15	27	0.34	128	12:59
2022-23	82	18	25	43	0.52	129	14:44
2021-22	66	12	17	29	0.44	81	12:01

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2024-25	14	0	4	4	0.29	19	13:29
2023-24	11	0	1	1	0.09	15	11:01
2022-23	15	3	4	7	0.47	24	16:50
2021-22	14	0	2	2	0.14	18	11:44

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Feb 1 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	A	HIT	BLK	TOI
Apr 14	@ NYI	1	0	0	2	17:29
Apr 13	@ PHI	1	0	2	1	15:21
Apr 11	@ UTA	1	0	0	0	9:52
Apr 9	@ CHI	1	0	0	0	13:57
Apr 5	@ OTT	0	0	3	1	14:04
Mar 4	@ VAN	0	0	1	0	10:29
Feb 5	@ NYR	0	0	1	0	9:34
Feb 3	vs OTT	0	0	1	0	8:34
Feb 1	vs LAK	1	0	0	0	9:20
Jan 31	@ WSH	1	1	2	1	12:26

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	5.1	2	minus 3.1 goals above expected	33	58
2024-25	15.1	12	minus 3.1 goals above expected	68	162
2023-24	14.0	12	minus 2.0 goals above expected	69	192
2022-23	15.9	18	plus 2.1 goals above expected	70	184
2021-22	10.5	12	plus 1.5 goals above expected	50	111

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	2 goals, 7 assists, 9 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0-0-0
2024-25	12 goals, 20 assists, 32 points	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point	0-0-0
2023-24	11 goals, 13 assists, 24 points	1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2022-23	14 goals, 17 assists, 31 points	3 goals, 8 assists, 11 points	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2021-22	12 goals, 13 assists, 25 points	0 goals, 4 assists, 4 points	0-0-0

Shot locations

58 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (16)Shot on goal (40)Goal (2)

Markets · Feb 1

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.2

P(over)

15%

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.