Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 335 game sample- PTS
- 26.0
- SOG
- 105.7
- G
- 12.6
- A
- 13.4
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 163.5
- BLK
- 49.4
- PIM
- 25.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 335 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 335 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 335 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.32
- G
- 0.15
- A
- 0.16
- SOG
- 1.29
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 2.00
- BLK
- 0.60
- PIM
- 0.30
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 78 | 14 | 16 | 30 | 0.38 | 110 | 13:55 |
| 2024-25 | 48 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0.21 | 55 | 11:34 |
| 2023-24 | 74 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 0.26 | 77 | 11:39 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 0.22 | 87 | 10:58 |
| 2021-22 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.17 | 44 | 9:54 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | 9 | 13:49 |
| 2023-24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 6 | 11:10 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 11:25 |
| 2021-22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 10:39 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29 | @ PHIPO | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 |
| Apr 27 | vs PHIPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:14 |
| Apr 25 | @ PHIPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 |
| Apr 22 | @ PHIPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10:37 |
| Apr 20 | vs PHIPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:47 |
| Apr 18 | vs PHIPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11:35 |
| Apr 5 | vs FLA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:30 |
| Apr 4 | vs FLA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 |
| Apr 2 | @ TBL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 |
| Mar 31 | vs DET | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:57 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 16.9 | 14 | minus 2.9 goals above expected | 70 | 186 |
| 2024-25 | 7.0 | 4 | minus 3.0 goals above expected | 36 | 72 |
| 2023-24 | 8.3 | 11 | plus 2.7 goals above expected | 54 | 111 |
| 2022-23 | 9.9 | 6 | minus 3.9 goals above expected | 67 | 124 |
| 2021-22 | 4.3 | 2 | minus 2.3 goals above expected | 28 | 59 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 goals, 15 assists, 28 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 5 assists, 9 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 10 goals, 8 assists, 18 points | 0-0-0 | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 3 goals, 11 assists, 14 points | 0-0-0 | 3 goals, 1 assist, 4 points |
| 2021-22 | 2 goals, 3 assists, 5 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
186 attempts · 14 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.