Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 108 game sample- PTS
- 33.9
- SOG
- 116.9
- G
- 14.7
- A
- 19.2
- PPP
- 4.5
- HIT
- 87.0
- BLK
- 24.1
- PIM
- 40.5
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 108 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 108 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 108 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.41
- G
- 0.18
- A
- 0.23
- SOG
- 1.42
- PPP
- 0.05
- HIT
- 1.06
- BLK
- 0.29
- PIM
- 0.49
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 79 | 15 | 20 | 35 | 0.44 | 116 | 12:31 |
| 2024-25 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.26 | 28 | 10:56 |
| 2023-24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 10:09 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 9:55 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16 | @ EDM | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:19 |
| Apr 14 | vs LAK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:23 |
| Apr 12 | @ ANA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:57 |
| Apr 11 | @ SJS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:48 |
| Apr 9 | @ LAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:56 |
| Apr 7 | vs VGK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 |
| Apr 4 | vs UTA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:04 |
| Apr 2 | @ MIN | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:09 |
| Apr 1 | @ COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:59 |
| Mar 30 | @ VGK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:14 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 7 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 17.1 | 15 | minus 2.1 goals above expected | 69 | 180 |
| 2024-25 | 4.6 | 3 | minus 1.6 goals above expected | 17 | 44 |
| 2023-24 | 1.1 | 0 | minus 1.1 goals above expected | 3 | 6 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 goals, 18 assists, 31 points | 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
180 attempts · 15 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 7
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.