Samuel Ersson

OTT·G#30

Projected · remaining schedule

84 team games · 143 game sample

PTS: —
SOG: —
G: —

A: —
PPP: —
HIT: —
BLK: —
PIM: —

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 143 real games × their team's 84 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 143 games incl. playoffs

SV%: 0.879
SV: 20.70
SA: 23.56
GA: 2.86
TOI: 55:50
GS: 0.92

SV% is total saves over total shots faced (weighted), not the average of per-game save percentages — the two differ. TOI and GS are per appearance.

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	GS	SA	GA	SV%	GAA	SO
2025-26	33	29	744	97	0.870	3.12	0
2024-25	47	45	1162	136	0.883	3.14	2
2023-24	51	49	1204	132	0.890	2.82	4
2022-23	12	10	327	33	0.899	3.07	1

No win-loss record — the NHL credits the decision to whoever was in net, not the starter

A decision goes to whichever goalie was in net when the winning goal was scored, which is a play-by-play fact rather than part of a boxscore line — and 884 team-games here used more than one goalie, so crediting the starter would be wrong often enough to matter. Save percentage is total saves over total shots faced. A shutout is a game this goalie was the only one their team used and conceded nothing, which is the NHL's own rule and needs no minimum-minutes cutoff.

Last 10 · goaltending

● started

Date	Opp	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
Started. Apr 14	vs MTL	29	27	2	.931	59:48
Relieved. Apr 9	@ DET	14	12	2	.857	35:04
Started. Apr 2	vs DET	19	15	4	.789	57:23
Started. Mar 29	vs DAL	18	17	1	.944	63:27
Started. Mar 26	vs CHI	26	25	1	.962	59:49
Started. Mar 19	@ LAK	25	22	3	.880	65:00
Started. Mar 11	vs WSH	23	22	1	.957	60:00
Relieved. Mar 9	vs NYR	3	3	0	1.000	19:47
Started. Feb 26	@ NYR	24	22	2	.917	61:40
Started. Jan 29	@ BOS	20	15	5	.750	40:00

Goaltending — goals saved above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xGA	GA	GSAx	GP	Att
2025-26	85.7	97	minus 11.3 goals saved above expected	33	1219
2024-25	113.2	136	minus 22.8 goals saved above expected	47	1759
2023-24	121.2	132	minus 10.8 goals saved above expected	51	1806
2022-23	38.1	33	plus 5.1 goals saved above expected	12	483

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point	0-0-0	0-0-0

No goalie market is modeled, so no projections are shown. The game log above is this player's record.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.