Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Blake Lizotte

PIT·F#46

vsVGK

Latest captured market

Mar 1 · 1:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 348 game sample

PTS: 27.4
SOG: 79.1
G: 11.1

A: 16.3
PPP: 0.4
HIT: 84.5
BLK: 44.4
PIM: 38.3

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 348 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 348 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 348 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.33
G: 0.13
A: 0.20
SOG: 0.96
PPP: 0.00
HIT: 1.03
BLK: 0.54
PIM: 0.47

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	55	7	12	19	0.35	49	13:52
2024-25	59	11	9	20	0.34	51	12:43
2023-24	62	7	8	15	0.24	76	11:49
2022-23	81	11	23	34	0.42	108	12:56
2021-22	70	10	14	24	0.34	91	12:10

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	6	0	2	2	0.33	3	14:12
2023-24	5	1	0	1	0.20	3	10:22
2022-23	3	0	0	0	0.00	4	9:42
2021-22	7	0	1	1	0.14	11	13:59

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 1 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	A	HIT	BLK	PIM	TOI
Apr 29	@ PHIPO	0	0	2	1	0	18:15
Apr 27	vs PHIPO	1	1	3	0	0	13:49
Apr 25	@ PHIPO	1	1	0	1	2	14:43
Apr 22	@ PHIPO	1	0	1	1	0	12:32
Apr 20	vs PHIPO	0	0	3	0	0	14:13
Apr 18	vs PHIPO	0	0	2	0	0	11:38
Mar 14	@ UTA	1	0	2	2	0	15:48
Mar 12	@ VGK	0	0	1	2	0	10:21
Mar 10	@ CAR	0	0	0	2	0	14:12
Mar 8	vs BOS	2	0	1	1	0	15:52

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	7.8	7	minus 0.8 goals above expected	38	79
2024-25	6.7	11	plus 4.3 goals above expected	45	79
2023-24	7.6	7	minus 0.6 goals above expected	49	100
2022-23	11.7	11	minus 0.7 goals above expected	68	152
2021-22	9.9	10	plus 0.1 goals above expected	58	122

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	6 goals, 12 assists, 18 points	0-0-0	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2024-25	9 goals, 9 assists, 18 points	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2023-24	5 goals, 7 assists, 12 points	0-0-0	2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points
2022-23	11 goals, 21 assists, 32 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points
2021-22	9 goals, 12 assists, 21 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points

Shot locations

79 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (30)Shot on goal (42)Goal (7)

Markets · Mar 1

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.2

P(over)

18%

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.1

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.