Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 260 game sample- PTS
- 23.2
- SOG
- 90.2
- G
- 2.7
- A
- 20.5
- PPP
- 3.8
- HIT
- 43.0
- BLK
- 135.5
- PIM
- 19.9
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 260 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 260 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 260 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.28
- G
- 0.03
- A
- 0.25
- SOG
- 1.10
- PPP
- 0.05
- HIT
- 0.52
- BLK
- 1.66
- PIM
- 0.24
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 2 | 19 | 21 | 0.26 | 86 | 21:08 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 4 | 26 | 30 | 0.37 | 103 | 23:16 |
| 2023-24 | 76 | 2 | 14 | 16 | 0.21 | 71 | 21:29 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 4 | 19:38 |
| 2021-22 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 12 | 14:19 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 | vs SJS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:20 |
| Apr 13 | vs BUF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:43 |
| Apr 11 | vs STL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:43 |
| Apr 9 | vs CAR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:57 |
| Apr 6 | @ SJS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:00 |
| Apr 4 | @ SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22:27 |
| Apr 2 | @ EDM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:01 |
| Mar 31 | vs WPG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:50 |
| Mar 29 | @ NJD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20:13 |
| Mar 27 | @ NYR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3.5 | 2 | minus 1.5 goals above expected | 65 | 133 |
| 2024-25 | 4.1 | 4 | minus 0.1 goals above expected | 70 | 149 |
| 2023-24 | 3.8 | 2 | minus 1.8 goals above expected | 53 | 102 |
| 2022-23 | 0.0 | 0 | minus 0.0 goals above expected | 3 | 5 |
| 2021-22 | 0.4 | 1 | plus 0.6 goals above expected | 7 | 18 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2 goals, 18 assists, 20 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 3 goals, 14 assists, 17 points | 1 goal, 11 assists, 12 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 2 goals, 12 assists, 14 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
133 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.