Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 270 game sample- PTS
- 30.6
- SOG
- 105.7
- G
- 6.0
- A
- 24.7
- PPP
- 4.2
- HIT
- 73.3
- BLK
- 73.2
- PIM
- 20.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 270 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 270 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 270 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.37
- G
- 0.07
- A
- 0.30
- SOG
- 1.29
- PPP
- 0.05
- HIT
- 0.89
- BLK
- 0.89
- PIM
- 0.25
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 73 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 0.42 | 108 | 18:44 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 4 | 24 | 28 | 0.35 | 86 | 16:47 |
| 2023-24 | 71 | 2 | 22 | 24 | 0.34 | 80 | 14:26 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 6 | 14:00 |
| 2021-22 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0.33 | 41 | 19:45 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 25:02 |
| 2024-25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 2 | 7:31 |
| 2023-24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 5 | 15:40 |
| 2021-22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 18:01 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25 | vs CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17:00 |
| Apr 23 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20:29 |
| Apr 20 | @ CARPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 39:01 |
| Apr 18 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23:40 |
| Apr 15 | vs TOR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:22 |
| Apr 12 | @ NJD | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26:36 |
| Apr 11 | @ NYI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18:13 |
| Apr 9 | vs FLA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:23 |
| Apr 7 | vs TBL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:59 |
| Apr 5 | vs CAR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19:57 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 11 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6.8 | 7 | plus 0.2 goals above expected | 66 | 185 |
| 2024-25 | 4.2 | 4 | minus 0.2 goals above expected | 66 | 154 |
| 2023-24 | 4.0 | 2 | minus 2.0 goals above expected | 57 | 112 |
| 2022-23 | 0.5 | 0 | minus 0.5 goals above expected | 5 | 11 |
| 2021-22 | 1.7 | 2 | plus 0.3 goals above expected | 24 | 60 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7 goals, 21 assists, 28 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 19 assists, 23 points | 0 goals, 5 assists, 5 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 1 goal, 17 assists, 18 points | 1 goal, 5 assists, 6 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2022-23 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
185 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 11
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.