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Mitchell Chaffee

Mitchell Chaffee

NYI·FJersey number #41
Played for TBL in the game shown
TBLvsPIT
Latest captured market
Apr 2 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 118 game sample
PTS
18.6
SOG
77.6
G
11.3
A
7.4
PPP
3.1
HIT
189.2
BLK
33.1
PIM
24.2

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 118 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 118 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 118 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.22
G
0.14
A
0.09
SOG
0.94
PPP
0.04
HIT
2.33
BLK
0.40
PIM
0.29

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26110110.0999:34
2024-2566126180.276812:02
2023-24304370.232711:17
2021-2220000.0017:27

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2024-2541010.25111:20
2023-2450000.00411:56

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 15vs NYR001051013:19
Apr 6@ BUF00002006:23
Apr 4vs BOS00000009:39
Apr 2vs PIT10003209:23
Oct 23vs CHI300040010:09
Oct 18@ CBJ00000108:40
Oct 17@ DET300021010:18
Oct 14@ WSH10001008:04
Oct 13@ BOS00000007:23
Oct 11vs NJD00002008:28

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-261.50minus 1.5 goals above expected610
2024-259.712plus 2.3 goals above expected50100
2023-243.14plus 0.9 goals above expected2239
2021-220.20minus 0.2 goals above expected22

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-260 goals, 1 assist, 1 point0-0-00-0-0
2024-258 goals, 6 assists, 14 points4 goals, 0 assists, 4 points0-0-0
2023-244 goals, 3 assists, 7 points0-0-00-0-0
2021-220 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

10 attempts · 0 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (1)Shot on goal (9)Goal (0)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.2
P(over)
14%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.