Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 257 game sample- PTS
- 35.0
- SOG
- 130.9
- G
- 13.4
- A
- 21.5
- PPP
- 4.8
- HIT
- 124.9
- BLK
- 53.9
- PIM
- 78.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 257 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 257 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 257 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.43
- G
- 0.16
- A
- 0.26
- SOG
- 1.60
- PPP
- 0.06
- HIT
- 1.53
- BLK
- 0.66
- PIM
- 0.95
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 77 | 13 | 22 | 35 | 0.45 | 129 | 16:41 |
| 2024-25 | 78 | 13 | 21 | 34 | 0.44 | 119 | 17:05 |
| 2023-24 | 72 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 0.36 | 97 | 14:44 |
| 2022-23 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 0.45 | 30 | 12:54 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 8 | 18:43 |
| 2024-25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 9 | 18:01 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17:50 |
| Apr 23 | vs CARPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 |
| Apr 20 | @ CARPO | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 27:09 |
| Apr 18 | @ CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 |
| Apr 15 | vs TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 |
| Apr 12 | @ NJD | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:35 |
| Apr 11 | @ NYI | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:36 |
| Apr 9 | vs FLA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:48 |
| Apr 7 | vs TBL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:02 |
| Apr 5 | vs CAR | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:30 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 18.8 | 13 | minus 5.8 goals above expected | 71 | 193 |
| 2024-25 | 18.4 | 13 | minus 5.4 goals above expected | 71 | 189 |
| 2023-24 | 12.1 | 13 | plus 0.9 goals above expected | 52 | 140 |
| 2022-23 | 3.7 | 2 | minus 1.7 goals above expected | 16 | 45 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11 goals, 20 assists, 31 points | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 8 goals, 13 assists, 21 points | 3 goals, 6 assists, 9 points | 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points |
| 2023-24 | 10 goals, 13 assists, 23 points | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
193 attempts · 13 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.