Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 174 game sample- PTS
- 17.2
- SOG
- 94.4
- G
- 3.6
- A
- 13.7
- PPP
- 0.4
- HIT
- 138.0
- BLK
- 106.0
- PIM
- 50.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 174 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 174 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 174 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.21
- G
- 0.04
- A
- 0.17
- SOG
- 1.15
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.69
- BLK
- 1.30
- PIM
- 0.61
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 70 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 0.26 | 90 | 17:21 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0.13 | 78 | 14:28 |
| 2023-24 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 7 | 12:39 |
| 2022-23 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.25 | 11 | 14:41 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 18:57 |
| 2024-25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | 4 | 15:47 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25 | vs CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19:40 |
| Apr 23 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:13 |
| Apr 2 | vs BUF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Mar 31 | @ FLA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22:39 |
| Mar 28 | @ TBL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 27:04 |
| Mar 26 | vs PIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27:00 |
| Mar 24 | @ DET | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28:11 |
| Mar 23 | @ NYR | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:30 |
| Mar 21 | vs TOR | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18:13 |
| Mar 19 | vs NYI | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21:06 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3.3 | 3 | minus 0.3 goals above expected | 59 | 133 |
| 2024-25 | 3.0 | 4 | plus 1.0 goals above expected | 58 | 114 |
| 2023-24 | 0.3 | 0 | minus 0.3 goals above expected | 8 | 10 |
| 2022-23 | 0.4 | 0 | minus 0.4 goals above expected | 7 | 17 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3 goals, 13 assists, 16 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 5 assists, 9 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
133 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.