Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 102 game sample- PTS
- 28.4
- SOG
- 112.1
- G
- 9.1
- A
- 19.3
- PPP
- 8.2
- HIT
- 135.4
- BLK
- 85.1
- PIM
- 31.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 102 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 102 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 102 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.34
- G
- 0.11
- A
- 0.23
- SOG
- 1.36
- PPP
- 0.10
- HIT
- 1.66
- BLK
- 1.04
- PIM
- 0.38
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 11 | 22 | 33 | 0.41 | 122 | 18:11 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 13 | 14:50 |
| 2024-25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 3 | 15:59 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:13 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 |
| Jun 2 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 |
| May 29 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:14 |
| May 27 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 |
| May 25 | @ MTLPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 |
| May 23 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13:36 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7.8 | 11 | plus 3.2 goals above expected | 73 | 195 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 16 assists, 22 points | 4 goals, 6 assists, 10 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
Shot locations
195 attempts · 11 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.