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Alexander Holtz

Alexander Holtz

VGK·FJersey number #10
Latest captured market
Feb 1 · 9:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 191 game sample
PTS
24.0
SOG
103.8
G
9.9
A
14.1
PPP
2.0
HIT
64.2
BLK
25.1
PIM
20.9

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 191 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 191 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 191 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.29
G
0.12
A
0.17
SOG
1.26
PPP
0.02
HIT
0.78
BLK
0.30
PIM
0.25

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26283690.323011:29
2024-255348120.236911:35
2023-24821612280.3412211:38
2022-23193140.212110:16
2021-2290220.221212:16

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Feb 1 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Feb 27@ WSH00000008:04
Feb 25@ LAK201020014:10
Feb 5vs LAK200030012:04
Feb 4vs VAN210010014:09
Feb 1@ ANA201010010:45
Jan 31vs SEA000031010:05
Jan 29vs DAL000050013:11
Jan 27@ MTL00000025:18
Jan 23@ TOR10102009:45
Jan 22@ BOS100022010:17

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-264.73minus 1.7 goals above expected2353
2024-257.24minus 3.2 goals above expected45110
2023-2412.116plus 3.9 goals above expected73180
2022-232.43plus 0.6 goals above expected1333
2021-221.20minus 1.2 goals above expected717

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-263 goals, 6 assists, 9 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0
2024-253 goals, 7 assists, 10 points1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points0-0-0
2023-2415 goals, 11 assists, 26 points1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points0-0-0
2022-231 goal, 1 assist, 2 points2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points0-0-0
2021-220 goals, 1 assist, 1 point0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point0-0-0

Shot locations

53 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (23)Shot on goal (27)Goal (3)

Markets · Feb 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
6%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.