Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 175 game sample- PTS
- 16.7
- SOG
- 82.2
- G
- 5.8
- A
- 10.9
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 56.3
- BLK
- 91.5
- PIM
- 33.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 175 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 175 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 175 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.20
- G
- 0.07
- A
- 0.13
- SOG
- 1.00
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 0.68
- BLK
- 1.12
- PIM
- 0.41
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 77 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 0.22 | 75 | 19:37 |
| 2024-25 | 57 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0.14 | 66 | 18:07 |
| 2023-24 | 32 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0.22 | 18 | 17:19 |
| 2022-23 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.33 | 14 | 18:36 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 | vs SJS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21:30 |
| Apr 13 | vs BUF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:17 |
| Apr 11 | vs STL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 23:18 |
| Apr 9 | vs CAR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17:56 |
| Apr 6 | @ SJS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:54 |
| Apr 4 | @ SEA | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:41 |
| Apr 2 | @ EDM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:01 |
| Mar 31 | vs WPG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23:07 |
| Mar 29 | @ NJD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:27 |
| Mar 27 | @ NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4.2 | 6 | plus 1.8 goals above expected | 54 | 118 |
| 2024-25 | 2.6 | 4 | plus 1.4 goals above expected | 44 | 91 |
| 2023-24 | 0.7 | 0 | minus 0.7 goals above expected | 21 | 28 |
| 2022-23 | 0.9 | 0 | minus 0.9 goals above expected | 8 | 20 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 11 assists, 17 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 4 assists, 8 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 0 goals, 7 assists, 7 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2022-23 | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
118 attempts · 6 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.