Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 347 game sample- PTS
- 26.6
- SOG
- 89.3
- G
- 4.7
- A
- 21.9
- PPP
- 0.3
- HIT
- 92.7
- BLK
- 134.2
- PIM
- 52.8
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 347 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 347 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 347 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.32
- G
- 0.06
- A
- 0.27
- SOG
- 1.09
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.13
- BLK
- 1.64
- PIM
- 0.65
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 5 | 25 | 30 | 0.37 | 92 | 20:47 |
| 2024-25 | 56 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 0.23 | 57 | 20:38 |
| 2023-24 | 69 | 5 | 20 | 25 | 0.36 | 85 | 21:01 |
| 2022-23 | 53 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0.19 | 41 | 20:15 |
| 2021-22 | 81 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 0.27 | 92 | 21:02 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 7:44 |
| 2024-25 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 3 | 22:37 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:44 |
| Apr 15 | vs TOR | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22:13 |
| Apr 12 | @ NJD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:28 |
| Apr 11 | @ NYI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24:45 |
| Apr 9 | vs FLA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:32 |
| Apr 7 | vs TBL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 23:58 |
| Apr 5 | vs CAR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:08 |
| Apr 4 | vs MIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21:51 |
| Apr 2 | vs BUF | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24:24 |
| Mar 31 | @ FLA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:43 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4.1 | 5 | plus 0.9 goals above expected | 70 | 153 |
| 2024-25 | 3.0 | 2 | minus 1.0 goals above expected | 39 | 83 |
| 2023-24 | 4.9 | 5 | plus 0.1 goals above expected | 54 | 129 |
| 2022-23 | 2.4 | 3 | plus 0.6 goals above expected | 35 | 63 |
| 2021-22 | 4.2 | 6 | plus 1.8 goals above expected | 57 | 127 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5 goals, 25 assists, 30 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 2 goals, 8 assists, 10 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2023-24 | 3 goals, 20 assists, 23 points | 0-0-0 | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points |
| 2022-23 | 3 goals, 7 assists, 10 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 6 goals, 16 assists, 22 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
153 attempts · 5 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.