Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 350 game sample- PTS
- 27.9
- SOG
- 99.0
- G
- 6.3
- A
- 21.5
- PPP
- 2.1
- HIT
- 68.9
- BLK
- 106.1
- PIM
- 53.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 350 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 350 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 350 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.34
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.26
- SOG
- 1.21
- PPP
- 0.03
- HIT
- 0.84
- BLK
- 1.30
- PIM
- 0.65
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 79 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 0.37 | 111 | 21:34 |
| 2024-25 | 54 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 0.26 | 48 | 18:51 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 5 | 21 | 26 | 0.33 | 77 | 20:34 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 0.38 | 93 | 21:03 |
| 2021-22 | 43 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 0.35 | 40 | 18:41 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.43 | 9 | 23:32 |
| 2024-25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 15:19 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22:12 |
| May 1 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:34 |
| Apr 29 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 20:33 |
| Apr 26 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:33 |
| Apr 24 | @ MTLPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 25:27 |
| Apr 21 | vs MTLPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29:14 |
| Apr 19 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22:12 |
| Apr 13 | vs DET | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22:10 |
| Apr 11 | @ BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22:29 |
| Apr 9 | @ MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:41 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6.9 | 7 | plus 0.1 goals above expected | 71 | 170 |
| 2024-25 | 2.2 | 2 | minus 0.2 goals above expected | 43 | 81 |
| 2023-24 | 4.8 | 5 | plus 0.2 goals above expected | 64 | 112 |
| 2022-23 | 5.4 | 7 | plus 1.6 goals above expected | 62 | 128 |
| 2021-22 | 2.8 | 4 | plus 1.2 goals above expected | 34 | 65 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7 goals, 19 assists, 26 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 1 goal, 11 assists, 12 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 5 goals, 16 assists, 21 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2022-23 | 4 goals, 16 assists, 20 points | 3 goals, 8 assists, 11 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 3 goals, 10 assists, 13 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
170 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.