Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 337 game sample- PTS
- 34.1
- SOG
- 121.5
- G
- 6.9
- A
- 27.2
- PPP
- 2.8
- HIT
- 33.5
- BLK
- 100.7
- PIM
- 17.3
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 337 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 337 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 337 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.42
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.33
- SOG
- 1.48
- PPP
- 0.03
- HIT
- 0.40
- BLK
- 1.23
- PIM
- 0.21
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 0.36 | 120 | 21:39 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 7 | 33 | 40 | 0.51 | 139 | 21:19 |
| 2023-24 | 76 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 0.43 | 108 | 22:55 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 4 | 31 | 35 | 0.44 | 130 | 23:30 |
| 2021-22 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.38 | 10 | 22:05 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0.46 | 8 | 21:28 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28:47 |
| May 16 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22:22 |
| May 14 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21:52 |
| May 12 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23:43 |
| May 10 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:42 |
| May 8 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:18 |
| May 6 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:41 |
| May 1 | @ BOSPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:24 |
| Apr 28 | vs BOSPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:21 |
| Apr 26 | @ BOSPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:14 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7.2 | 8 | plus 0.8 goals above expected | 73 | 170 |
| 2024-25 | 8.4 | 7 | minus 1.4 goals above expected | 72 | 198 |
| 2023-24 | 7.5 | 6 | minus 1.5 goals above expected | 69 | 158 |
| 2022-23 | 8.6 | 4 | minus 4.6 goals above expected | 65 | 160 |
| 2021-22 | 0.9 | 2 | plus 1.1 goals above expected | 7 | 11 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8 goals, 19 assists, 27 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 6 goals, 28 assists, 34 points | 1 goal, 5 assists, 6 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 6 goals, 20 assists, 26 points | 0 goals, 6 assists, 6 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 4 goals, 22 assists, 26 points | 0 goals, 8 assists, 8 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
170 attempts · 8 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.