Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 160 game sample- PTS
- 33.7
- SOG
- 162.2
- G
- 13.7
- A
- 20.1
- PPP
- 10.9
- HIT
- 146.9
- BLK
- 35.2
- PIM
- 26.8
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 160 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 160 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 160 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.41
- G
- 0.17
- A
- 0.24
- SOG
- 1.98
- PPP
- 0.13
- HIT
- 1.80
- BLK
- 0.43
- PIM
- 0.33
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 77 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 0.42 | 161 | 14:28 |
| 2024-25 | 72 | 15 | 16 | 31 | 0.43 | 129 | 13:19 |
| 2023-24 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 11 | 12:02 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 6 | 11:20 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 | vs DET | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 |
| Apr 13 | vs NYR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11:38 |
| Apr 11 | @ TOR | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:37 |
| Apr 9 | @ OTT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:19 |
| Apr 7 | @ MTL | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:04 |
| Apr 5 | @ PIT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20:38 |
| Apr 4 | @ PIT | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 |
| Apr 2 | vs BOS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:56 |
| Mar 31 | vs OTT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:46 |
| Mar 29 | @ NYR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 21.3 | 12 | minus 9.3 goals above expected | 72 | 256 |
| 2024-25 | 17.3 | 15 | minus 2.3 goals above expected | 67 | 217 |
| 2023-24 | 1.0 | 0 | minus 1.0 goals above expected | 6 | 15 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8 goals, 14 assists, 22 points | 4 goals, 6 assists, 10 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 11 goals, 9 assists, 20 points | 4 goals, 7 assists, 11 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
256 attempts · 12 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.