Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 195 game sample- PTS
- 37.1
- SOG
- 148.7
- G
- 7.4
- A
- 29.7
- PPP
- 11.9
- HIT
- 30.3
- BLK
- 164.7
- PIM
- 54.9
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 195 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 195 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 195 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.45
- G
- 0.09
- A
- 0.36
- SOG
- 1.81
- PPP
- 0.15
- HIT
- 0.36
- BLK
- 2.02
- PIM
- 0.67
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 8 | 32 | 40 | 0.49 | 159 | 19:48 |
| 2024-25 | 78 | 5 | 28 | 33 | 0.42 | 131 | 16:17 |
| 2023-24 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.38 | 31 | 13:39 |
| 2022-23 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.22 | 11 | 13:38 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 5 | 19:46 |
| 2024-25 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | 6 | 12:47 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | vs COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:22 |
| Apr 23 | vs COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 19:46 |
| Apr 21 | @ COLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 21:25 |
| Apr 19 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19:30 |
| Apr 16 | @ CGY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19:34 |
| Apr 14 | @ VAN | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:39 |
| Apr 13 | @ SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 18:58 |
| Apr 11 | vs EDM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 19:55 |
| Apr 9 | vs VAN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 18:07 |
| Apr 6 | vs NSH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 21:29 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8.6 | 8 | minus 0.6 goals above expected | 79 | 224 |
| 2024-25 | 6.2 | 5 | minus 1.2 goals above expected | 68 | 180 |
| 2023-24 | 1.7 | 2 | plus 0.3 goals above expected | 14 | 40 |
| 2022-23 | 1.2 | 0 | minus 1.2 goals above expected | 9 | 16 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 21 assists, 27 points | 2 goals, 11 assists, 13 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 21 assists, 25 points | 1 goal, 7 assists, 8 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2022-23 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
224 attempts · 8 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.