Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 201 game sample- PTS
- 33.2
- SOG
- 110.4
- G
- 14.8
- A
- 18.4
- PPP
- 7.5
- HIT
- 162.4
- BLK
- 42.1
- PIM
- 44.8
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 201 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 201 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 201 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.40
- G
- 0.18
- A
- 0.22
- SOG
- 1.34
- PPP
- 0.09
- HIT
- 1.99
- BLK
- 0.51
- PIM
- 0.55
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 78 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 0.38 | 101 | 13:38 |
| 2024-25 | 72 | 19 | 17 | 36 | 0.50 | 120 | 12:49 |
| 2023-24 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0.36 | 38 | 12:01 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0.37 | 18 | 11:23 |
| 2024-25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 7 | 13:17 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 |
| May 27 | vs CARPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:27 |
| May 25 | vs CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 |
| May 23 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:53 |
| May 21 | @ CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11:30 |
| May 18 | @ BUFPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:11 |
| May 16 | vs BUFPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 |
| May 14 | @ BUFPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:52 |
| May 12 | vs BUFPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:39 |
| May 10 | vs BUFPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10:43 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 7 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 14.9 | 12 | minus 2.9 goals above expected | 74 | 182 |
| 2024-25 | 13.2 | 19 | plus 5.8 goals above expected | 64 | 184 |
| 2023-24 | 3.0 | 5 | plus 2.0 goals above expected | 23 | 52 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9 goals, 15 assists, 24 points | 3 goals, 3 assists, 6 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 12 goals, 12 assists, 24 points | 7 goals, 5 assists, 12 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 5 goals, 4 assists, 9 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
182 attempts · 12 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 7
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.