Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 196 game sample- PTS
- 51.5
- SOG
- 167.1
- G
- 21.6
- A
- 29.9
- PPP
- 10.3
- HIT
- 27.7
- BLK
- 35.5
- PIM
- 48.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 196 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 196 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 196 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.63
- G
- 0.26
- A
- 0.37
- SOG
- 2.04
- PPP
- 0.13
- HIT
- 0.33
- BLK
- 0.43
- PIM
- 0.59
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 22 | 31 | 53 | 0.65 | 174 | 16:30 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 17 | 17 | 34 | 0.43 | 142 | 13:51 |
| 2023-24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 15:18 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 1.05 | 43 | 17:53 |
| 2024-25 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.40 | 26 | 16:55 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14:32 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:19 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:14 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24:10 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16:58 |
| Jun 2 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:22 |
| May 29 | vs MTLPO | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:53 |
| May 27 | @ MTLPO | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:46 |
| May 25 | @ MTLPO | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22:25 |
| May 23 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 17:32 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 29.1 | 22 | minus 7.1 goals above expected | 76 | 276 |
| 2024-25 | 22.2 | 17 | minus 5.2 goals above expected | 73 | 204 |
| 2023-24 | 0.2 | 0 | minus 0.2 goals above expected | 1 | 3 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 goals, 22 assists, 41 points | 3 goals, 9 assists, 12 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 12 goals, 15 assists, 27 points | 5 goals, 2 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
276 attempts · 22 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.