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all players
Jaroslav Chmelar

Jaroslav Chmelar

NYR·FJersey number #49
vsMTL
Latest captured market
Apr 2 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 28 game sample
PTS
18.3
SOG
69.5
G
11.8
A
6.5
PPP
0.3
HIT
153.3
BLK
47.6
PIM
32.5

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 28 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 28 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 28 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.21
G
0.14
A
0.07
SOG
0.82
PPP
0.00
HIT
1.89
BLK
0.57
PIM
0.39

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26284260.21239:09

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 2/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 15@ TBL100041413:26
Apr 13@ FLA000022010:33
Apr 11@ DAL200021011:12
Apr 8vs BUF000010011:15
Apr 5vs WSH101031014:19
Apr 4vs DET110040012:00
Apr 2vs MTL10001008:04
Mar 31vs NJD310010010:31
Mar 29vs FLA000040012:26
Mar 27vs CHI40102209:47

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-262.44plus 1.6 goals above expected1728

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-264 goals, 2 assists, 6 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0

Shot locations

28 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (5)Shot on goal (19)Goal (4)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
12%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.