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Tyson Kozak

Tyson Kozak

BUF·FJersey number #48
vsVGK
Latest captured market
Mar 3 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 73 game sample
PTS
12.9
SOG
55.6
G
4.7
A
8.1
PPP
0.8
HIT
188.8
BLK
68.9
PIM
4.5

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 73 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 73 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 73 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.15
G
0.06
A
0.10
SOG
0.66
PPP
0.01
HIT
2.32
BLK
0.84
PIM
0.05

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26462460.133011:17
2024-25213250.241110:29

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2660110.17611:25

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 3 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
May 8vs MTLPO100000010:02
May 6vs MTLPO100000010:56
May 1@ BOSPO000012011:01
Apr 28vs BOSPO100070016:55
Apr 26@ BOSPO201012010:59
Apr 23@ BOSPO10003008:35
Apr 15vs DAL001041013:34
Apr 13@ CHI100051010:49
Apr 9vs CBJ20102009:38
Apr 8@ NYR000032010:50

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 3 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-262.92minus 0.9 goals above expected2741
2024-252.43plus 0.6 goals above expected1527

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-262 goals, 3 assists, 5 points0-0-00 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2024-252 goals, 2 assists, 4 points1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point0-0-0

Shot locations

41 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (11)Shot on goal (28)Goal (2)

Markets · Mar 3

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.