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Joel Nystrom

Joel Nystrom

CAR·DJersey number #64
vsMTL
Latest captured market
Jan 1 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 38 game sample
PTS
22.0
SOG
93.8
G
2.5
A
19.5
PPP
0.2
HIT
23.6
BLK
48.0
PIM
13.6

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 38 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 38 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 38 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.26
G
0.03
A
0.24
SOG
1.13
PPP
0.00
HIT
0.26
BLK
0.58
PIM
0.16

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-263819100.264315:11

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Jan 1 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 14@ NYI001011015:51
Jan 24@ OTT10000009:40
Jan 22vs CHI210000210:43
Jan 19vs BUF100000013:08
Jan 17@ NJD100000012:10
Jan 8vs ANA000000013:37
Jan 6vs DAL100000016:17
Jan 4@ NJD100001012:11
Jan 3vs COL000011012:56
Jan 1vs MTL001010014:59

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Jan 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-261.41minus 0.4 goals above expected3263

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-261 goal, 9 assists, 10 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

63 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (20)Shot on goal (42)Goal (1)

Markets · Jan 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
2%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.