Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 159 game sample- PTS
- 25.8
- SOG
- 139.5
- G
- 12.7
- A
- 13.1
- PPP
- 2.8
- HIT
- 180.6
- BLK
- 51.5
- PIM
- 34.3
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 159 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 159 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 159 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.31
- G
- 0.15
- A
- 0.16
- SOG
- 1.70
- PPP
- 0.03
- HIT
- 2.21
- BLK
- 0.63
- PIM
- 0.42
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 0.23 | 131 | 13:47 |
| 2024-25 | 77 | 19 | 18 | 37 | 0.48 | 145 | 15:27 |
| 2022-23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 14:59 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 | @ FLA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18:41 |
| Apr 13 | @ TBL | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:32 |
| Apr 11 | vs NJD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:14 |
| Apr 9 | vs PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 |
| Apr 7 | vs CBJ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:06 |
| Apr 5 | vs MIN | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 |
| Apr 4 | @ NYR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:07 |
| Apr 2 | @ PHI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:59 |
| Mar 31 | @ PIT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:57 |
| Mar 28 | vs PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:51 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 4 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 16.0 | 9 | minus 7.0 goals above expected | 74 | 205 |
| 2024-25 | 18.3 | 19 | plus 0.7 goals above expected | 71 | 207 |
| 2022-23 | 0.2 | 0 | minus 0.2 goals above expected | 1 | 1 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8 goals, 8 assists, 16 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 17 goals, 16 assists, 33 points | 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
205 attempts · 9 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 4
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.