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Rutger McGroarty

Rutger McGroarty

PIT·FJersey number #2
vsOTT
Latest captured market
Feb 2 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 32 game sample
PTS
22.5
SOG
124.7
G
10.4
A
12.1
PPP
0.3
HIT
94.0
BLK
32.0
PIM
12.7

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 32 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 32 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 32 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.27
G
0.13
A
0.14
SOG
1.52
PPP
0.00
HIT
1.14
BLK
0.38
PIM
0.14

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26243360.253711:58
2024-2581230.381114:37

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Feb 2 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 14@ STL110000015:21
Apr 12@ WSH20000009:55
Apr 11vs WSH000030014:49
Mar 28vs DAL000020210:41
Feb 5@ BUF001011010:01
Feb 2vs OTT000012010:37
Jan 31vs NYR10100029:31
Jan 29vs CHI500031010:36
Jan 3@ DET100010012:25
Jan 1vs DET00001008:44

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-263.73minus 0.7 goals above expected2051
2024-251.71minus 0.7 goals above expected720

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-263 goals, 3 assists, 6 points0-0-00-0-0
2024-251 goal, 2 assists, 3 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0

Shot locations

51 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (14)Shot on goal (34)Goal (3)

Markets · Feb 2

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
10%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.