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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026
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Owen Pickering

Owen Pickering

PIT·DJersey number #38
Latest captured market
Nov 1 · 3:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 29 game sample
PTS
9.2
SOG
47.3
G
3.1
A
6.0
PPP
0.5
HIT
40.9
BLK
57.7
PIM
25.7

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 29 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 29 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 29 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.09
G
0.03
A
0.06
SOG
0.52
PPP
0.00
HIT
0.45
BLK
0.70
PIM
0.30

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2640000.00112:06
2024-25251230.121514:49

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Nov 1 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Nov 3@ TOR000000211:05
Nov 1@ WPG100000010:43
Oct 30@ MIN000012013:23
Oct 28@ PHI000000013:12
Jan 23@ ANA200001014:58
Jan 20@ LAK101001215:09
Jan 18@ WSH000000012:47
Jan 17@ BUF000021214:28
Jan 14vs SEA200002014:35
Jan 12vs TBL000020013:35

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Nov 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-260.00minus 0.0 goals above expected22
2024-250.41plus 0.6 goals above expected1827

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-260 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0
2024-251 goal, 2 assists, 3 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

2 attempts · 0 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (1)Shot on goal (1)Goal (0)

Markets · Nov 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.