Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 84 game sample- PTS
- 58.3
- SOG
- 190.9
- G
- 23.8
- A
- 34.5
- PPP
- 10.6
- HIT
- 82.2
- BLK
- 45.5
- PIM
- 19.4
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 84 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 84 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 84 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.71
- G
- 0.29
- A
- 0.42
- SOG
- 2.34
- PPP
- 0.13
- HIT
- 1.00
- BLK
- 0.55
- PIM
- 0.23
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 70 | 21 | 30 | 51 | 0.73 | 169 | 16:42 |
| 2024-25 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.57 | 10 | 15:28 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.57 | 12 | 17:05 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16 | @ UTA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 |
| Apr 14 | vs PIT | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16:40 |
| Apr 13 | vs MIN | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:44 |
| Apr 11 | @ CHI | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:35 |
| Apr 9 | vs WPG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 |
| Apr 7 | vs COL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:38 |
| Apr 5 | @ COL | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:32 |
| Apr 3 | @ ANA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:32 |
| Apr 1 | @ LAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:38 |
| Mar 30 | @ SJS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:19 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 22.7 | 21 | minus 1.7 goals above expected | 68 | 260 |
| 2024-25 | 1.8 | 1 | minus 0.8 goals above expected | 6 | 20 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 16 goals, 26 assists, 42 points | 5 goals, 4 assists, 9 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
260 attempts · 21 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.