Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 181 game sample- PTS
- 27.9
- SOG
- 99.4
- G
- 9.4
- A
- 18.5
- PPP
- 8.3
- HIT
- 78.0
- BLK
- 84.7
- PIM
- 21.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 181 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 181 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 181 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.34
- G
- 0.11
- A
- 0.22
- SOG
- 1.21
- PPP
- 0.10
- HIT
- 0.95
- BLK
- 1.04
- PIM
- 0.26
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 61 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 0.39 | 72 | 16:48 |
| 2024-25 | 60 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 0.27 | 84 | 19:33 |
| 2023-24 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 10 | 16:13 |
| 2022-23 | 36 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 0.39 | 50 | 19:10 |
| 2021-22 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.43 | 13 | 17:34 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 2 | 9:25 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:21 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:54 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:08 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:06 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:35 |
| Apr 16 | vs SEA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 |
| Apr 14 | @ CGY | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 |
| Apr 13 | @ EDM | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:14 |
| Apr 11 | vs VGK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14:06 |
| Apr 9 | vs CGY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:37 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5.3 | 8 | plus 2.7 goals above expected | 50 | 121 |
| 2024-25 | 5.9 | 4 | minus 1.9 goals above expected | 47 | 124 |
| 2023-24 | 0.4 | 1 | plus 0.6 goals above expected | 10 | 17 |
| 2022-23 | 3.1 | 4 | plus 0.9 goals above expected | 31 | 71 |
| 2021-22 | 0.4 | 1 | plus 0.6 goals above expected | 6 | 15 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5 goals, 12 assists, 17 points | 3 goals, 4 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 3 goals, 7 assists, 10 points | 1 goal, 5 assists, 6 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2022-23 | 4 goals, 6 assists, 10 points | 0 goals, 4 assists, 4 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
121 attempts · 8 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 1
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.