Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 55 game sample- PTS
- 38.8
- SOG
- 112.2
- G
- 12.0
- A
- 26.8
- PPP
- 6.0
- HIT
- 29.6
- BLK
- 36.3
- PIM
- 18.3
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 55 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 55 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 55 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.47
- G
- 0.15
- A
- 0.33
- SOG
- 1.36
- PPP
- 0.07
- HIT
- 0.35
- BLK
- 0.44
- PIM
- 0.22
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 54 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 0.48 | 75 | 14:08 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 9:12 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:12 |
| Mar 21 | @ NSH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:14 |
| Mar 19 | vs UTA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:58 |
| Mar 17 | vs BUF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:04 |
| Mar 14 | vs CHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:17 |
| Mar 12 | vs PIT | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 |
| Mar 10 | @ DAL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 |
| Mar 8 | vs EDM | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:27 |
| Mar 6 | vs MIN | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:50 |
| Mar 4 | @ DET | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17:53 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 10 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13.7 | 8 | minus 5.7 goals above expected | 47 | 120 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 16 assists, 22 points | 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
120 attempts · 8 goals · 2025-26Markets · Mar 10
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.