Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 86 game sample- PTS
- 28.9
- SOG
- 101.0
- G
- 2.3
- A
- 26.6
- PPP
- 12.7
- HIT
- 114.3
- BLK
- 90.2
- PIM
- 51.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 86 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 86 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 86 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.35
- G
- 0.03
- A
- 0.32
- SOG
- 1.23
- PPP
- 0.16
- HIT
- 1.40
- BLK
- 1.10
- PIM
- 0.62
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 68 | 2 | 22 | 24 | 0.35 | 84 | 19:35 |
| 2024-25 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0.33 | 21 | 20:19 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27 | @ NYR | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 22:33 |
| Mar 26 | @ PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22:20 |
| Mar 24 | @ NYI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23:12 |
| Mar 22 | vs NSH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24:27 |
| Mar 20 | vs COL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21:23 |
| Mar 19 | @ MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20:21 |
| Mar 17 | vs MIN | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:29 |
| Mar 14 | @ VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 23:55 |
| Mar 12 | @ UTA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18:04 |
| Mar 9 | vs UTA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 6 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5.5 | 2 | minus 3.5 goals above expected | 55 | 129 |
| 2024-25 | 1.0 | 0 | minus 1.0 goals above expected | 14 | 35 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 1 goal, 12 assists, 13 points | 1 goal, 10 assists, 11 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 0 goals, 4 assists, 4 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
129 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26Markets · Mar 6
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.