Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 80 game sample- PTS
- 28.0
- SOG
- 78.5
- G
- 6.4
- A
- 21.6
- PPP
- 14.1
- HIT
- 31.9
- BLK
- 58.5
- PIM
- 45.1
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 80 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 80 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 80 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.34
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.26
- SOG
- 0.95
- PPP
- 0.17
- HIT
- 0.38
- BLK
- 0.71
- PIM
- 0.55
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 76 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 0.34 | 73 | 19:35 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 2 | 13:35 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16 | @ EDM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 21:38 |
| Apr 14 | vs LAK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25:00 |
| Apr 12 | @ ANA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18:16 |
| Apr 11 | @ SJS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:52 |
| Apr 9 | @ LAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:13 |
| Apr 7 | vs VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:18 |
| Apr 4 | vs UTA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 |
| Apr 2 | @ MIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23:01 |
| Apr 1 | @ COL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 |
| Mar 30 | @ VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:24 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 7 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5.0 | 6 | plus 1.0 goals above expected | 59 | 112 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3 goals, 10 assists, 13 points | 3 goals, 10 assists, 13 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
112 attempts · 6 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 7
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.