Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 108 game sample- PTS
- 57.1
- SOG
- 129.9
- G
- 17.6
- A
- 39.5
- PPP
- 20.3
- HIT
- 42.1
- BLK
- 28.6
- PIM
- 31.5
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 108 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 108 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 108 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.70
- G
- 0.22
- A
- 0.48
- SOG
- 1.58
- PPP
- 0.25
- HIT
- 0.51
- BLK
- 0.34
- PIM
- 0.38
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 19 | 43 | 62 | 0.76 | 127 | 15:30 |
| 2024-25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.00 | 5 | 13:43 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0.47 | 35 | 17:03 |
| 2024-25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.40 | 2 | 14:29 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29 | @ CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:19 |
| May 27 | vs CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 |
| May 25 | vs CARPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22:23 |
| May 23 | @ CARPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 |
| May 21 | @ CARPO | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:16 |
| May 18 | @ BUFPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22:19 |
| May 16 | vs BUFPO | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 |
| May 14 | @ BUFPO | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:44 |
| May 12 | vs BUFPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:45 |
| May 10 | vs BUFPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:52 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 18.0 | 19 | plus 1.0 goals above expected | 72 | 207 |
| 2024-25 | 0.8 | 1 | plus 0.2 goals above expected | 2 | 9 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 goals, 30 assists, 42 points | 7 goals, 13 assists, 20 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
207 attempts · 19 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.