Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 83 game sample- PTS
- 34.6
- SOG
- 157.7
- G
- 16.8
- A
- 17.9
- PPP
- 9.9
- HIT
- 40.3
- BLK
- 63.3
- PIM
- 18.1
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 83 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 83 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 83 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.42
- G
- 0.20
- A
- 0.22
- SOG
- 1.93
- PPP
- 0.12
- HIT
- 0.48
- BLK
- 0.77
- PIM
- 0.22
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 77 | 17 | 18 | 35 | 0.45 | 151 | 15:04 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 9 | 13:07 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29 | @ PHIPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19:28 |
| Apr 27 | vs PHIPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:49 |
| Apr 25 | @ PHIPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:16 |
| Apr 22 | @ PHIPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 |
| Apr 20 | vs PHIPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:00 |
| Apr 18 | vs PHIPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 |
| Apr 14 | @ STL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:05 |
| Apr 9 | @ NJD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 |
| Apr 5 | vs FLA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11:35 |
| Apr 4 | vs FLA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:10 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 5 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 21.0 | 17 | minus 4.0 goals above expected | 69 | 219 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 goals, 11 assists, 23 points | 4 goals, 6 assists, 10 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
Shot locations
219 attempts · 17 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 5
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.