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Sat, Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders

Before the game

Away · TBL

2025-26 record
50–26–6
xG-Elo rank
6of 32

Home · NYI

2025-26 record
43–34–5
xG-Elo rank
25of 32

Pre-game win chance

TBL 51%NYI 49%

The model’s projection, not a betting recommendation. Its accuracy is modest (held-out AUC 0.590, on a scale where 0.5 is a coin flip and 1.0 is perfect).

The box score appears here after the game.