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Wed, Dec 9 · 7:30 PM ET

Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars

Before the game

Away · TOR

2025-26 record
32–36–14
rank
31of 32

Home · DAL

2025-26 record
50–20–12
rank
10of 32

Expected goals per game, 2025-26

Per gameTORDAL
for3.023.25
against3.642.97

The model’s expected goals on each club’s open-play attempts, per game over 82 and 82 games. Last season’s, as the records are.

Pre-game win chance

TOR 37%DAL 63%

The model’s projection, not a betting recommendation. Its accuracy is modest (held-out AUC 0.590, on a scale where 0.5 is a coin flip and 1.0 is perfect).

The box score appears here after the game.