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Sun, Dec 13 · 8:00 PM ET

Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues

Before the game

Away · TBL

2025-26 record
50–26–6
rank
6of 32

Home · STL

2025-26 record
37–33–12
rank
20of 32

Expected goals per game, 2025-26

Per gameTBLSTL
for3.582.89
against3.023.04

The model’s expected goals on each club’s open-play attempts, per game over 82 and 82 games. Last season’s, as the records are.

Pre-game win chance

TBL 48%STL 52%

The model’s projection, not a betting recommendation. Its accuracy is modest (held-out AUC 0.590, on a scale where 0.5 is a coin flip and 1.0 is perfect).

The box score appears here after the game.