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Fri, Dec 18 · 7:30 PM ET

Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres

Before the game

Away · MTL

2025-26 record
48–24–10
rank
18of 32

Home · BUF

2025-26 record
50–23–9
rank
13of 32

Expected goals per game, 2025-26

Per gameMTLBUF
for3.443.29
against3.443.28

The model’s expected goals on each club’s open-play attempts, per game over 82 and 82 games. Last season’s, as the records are.

Pre-game win chance

MTL 44%BUF 56%

The model’s projection, not a betting recommendation. Its accuracy is modest (held-out AUC 0.590, on a scale where 0.5 is a coin flip and 1.0 is perfect).

The box score appears here after the game.