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Tue, Dec 22 · 7:00 PM ET

St. Louis Blues at Tampa Bay Lightning

Before the game

Away · STL

2025-26 record
37–33–12
rank
20of 32

Home · TBL

2025-26 record
50–26–6
rank
6of 32

Expected goals per game, 2025-26

Per gameSTLTBL
for2.893.58
against3.043.02

The model’s expected goals on each club’s open-play attempts, per game over 82 and 82 games. Last season’s, as the records are.

Pre-game win chance

STL 42%TBL 58%

The model’s projection, not a betting recommendation. Its accuracy is modest (held-out AUC 0.590, on a scale where 0.5 is a coin flip and 1.0 is perfect).

The box score appears here after the game.