Sat, Dec 26 · 7:00 PM ET
Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens
Before the game
Away · TOR
- 2025-26 record
- 32–36–14
- rank
- 31of 32
Home · MTL
- 2025-26 record
- 48–24–10
- rank
- 18of 32
Expected goals per game, 2025-26
| Per game | TOR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| for | 3.02 | 3.44 |
| against | 3.64 | 3.44 |
The model’s expected goals on each club’s open-play attempts, per game over 82 and 82 games. Last season’s, as the records are.
Pre-game win chance
TOR 38%MTL 62%
The model’s projection, not a betting recommendation. Its accuracy is modest (held-out AUC 0.590, on a scale where 0.5 is a coin flip and 1.0 is perfect).
The box score appears here after the game.