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Mon, Jan 11 · 8:30 PM ET

Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers

Before the game

Away · TBL

2025-26 record
50–26–6
rank
6of 32

Home · EDM

2025-26 record
41–30–11
rank
7of 32

Expected goals per game, 2025-26

Per gameTBLEDM
for3.583.52
against3.023.26

The model’s expected goals on each club’s open-play attempts, per game over 82 and 82 games. Last season’s, as the records are.

Pre-game win chance

TBL 45%EDM 55%

The model’s projection, not a betting recommendation. Its accuracy is modest (held-out AUC 0.590, on a scale where 0.5 is a coin flip and 1.0 is perfect).

Live score and game stats appear here once the game starts, updated every couple of minutes. The box score of record follows the next morning.