Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 464 game sample- PTS
- 35.6
- SOG
- 177.5
- G
- 9.6
- A
- 26.1
- PPP
- 5.8
- HIT
- 32.8
- BLK
- 94.4
- PIM
- 32.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 464 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 464 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 464 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.43
- G
- 0.12
- A
- 0.32
- SOG
- 2.17
- PPP
- 0.07
- HIT
- 0.40
- BLK
- 1.15
- PIM
- 0.40
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 12 | 23 | 35 | 0.43 | 172 | 18:53 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 0.35 | 174 | 20:58 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 10 | 33 | 43 | 0.52 | 185 | 21:30 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 18 | 43 | 61 | 0.74 | 255 | 23:13 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 10 | 44 | 54 | 0.66 | 203 | 26:09 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.31 | 23 | 18:10 |
| 2024-25 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.33 | 26 | 22:55 |
| 2023-24 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.36 | 24 | 22:46 |
| 2022-23 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 0.60 | 56 | 26:00 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18:39 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:38 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20:01 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 16:55 |
| May 13 | vs MINPO | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:47 |
| May 11 | @ MINPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:47 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:36 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:09 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:54 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6.4 | 12 | plus 5.6 goals above expected | 77 | 264 |
| 2024-25 | 6.0 | 6 | minus 0.0 goals above expected | 76 | 277 |
| 2023-24 | 8.9 | 10 | plus 1.1 goals above expected | 80 | 300 |
| 2022-23 | 11.9 | 18 | plus 6.1 goals above expected | 81 | 366 |
| 2021-22 | 9.3 | 10 | plus 0.7 goals above expected | 78 | 293 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 goals, 22 assists, 34 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 6 goals, 20 assists, 26 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 5 goals, 18 assists, 23 points | 4 goals, 15 assists, 19 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 14 goals, 24 assists, 38 points | 4 goals, 19 assists, 23 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 6 goals, 29 assists, 35 points | 4 goals, 14 assists, 18 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
Shot locations
264 attempts · 12 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.