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Nick Foligno

Nick Foligno

MIN·FJersey number #71
Played for CHI in the game shown
CHI@UTA
Latest captured market
Mar 1 · 4:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 354 game sample
PTS
29.9
SOG
99.6
G
11.7
A
18.2
PPP
5.3
HIT
208.6
BLK
43.5
PIM
60.6

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 354 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 354 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 354 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.36
G
0.14
A
0.22
SOG
1.21
PPP
0.06
HIT
2.55
BLK
0.53
PIM
0.74

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2654411150.284912:39
2024-25781520350.4510415:56
2023-24741720370.5014617:46
2022-23601016260.437112:22
2021-2264211130.209912:28

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26112130.271012:05
2022-2361230.50711:28
2021-2270110.1469:59

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 1 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
May 13@ COLPO320031012:45
May 11vs COLPO20002009:13
May 9vs COLPO000061011:37
May 5@ COLPO00002009:42
May 3@ COLPO100030012:03
Apr 30vs DALPO100052010:22
Apr 28@ DALPO100020015:20
Apr 25vs DALPO000040015:34
Apr 22vs DALPO001060216:46
Apr 20@ DALPO20001128:37

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-264.34minus 0.3 goals above expected3665
2024-2513.515plus 1.5 goals above expected61134
2023-2418.517minus 1.5 goals above expected68189
2022-238.310plus 1.7 goals above expected4697
2021-227.82minus 5.8 goals above expected53128

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-264 goals, 7 assists, 11 points0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points
2024-2511 goals, 18 assists, 29 points2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points
2023-248 goals, 12 assists, 20 points8 goals, 8 assists, 16 points1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2022-238 goals, 13 assists, 21 points2 goals, 3 assists, 5 points0-0-0
2021-222 goals, 10 assists, 12 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

65 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (16)Shot on goal (45)Goal (4)

Markets · Mar 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
5%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.