Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 432 game sample- PTS
- 40.0
- SOG
- 150.5
- G
- 18.6
- A
- 21.3
- PPP
- 8.3
- HIT
- 76.7
- BLK
- 28.7
- PIM
- 42.4
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 432 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 432 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 432 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.49
- G
- 0.23
- A
- 0.26
- SOG
- 1.84
- PPP
- 0.10
- HIT
- 0.93
- BLK
- 0.35
- PIM
- 0.52
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 15 | 18 | 33 | 0.40 | 148 | 16:42 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 19 | 18 | 37 | 0.45 | 134 | 17:17 |
| 2023-24 | 63 | 18 | 18 | 36 | 0.57 | 145 | 18:44 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 27 | 37 | 64 | 0.78 | 143 | 17:13 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 25 | 34 | 59 | 0.72 | 164 | 18:41 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0.75 | 25 | 18:53 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0.83 | 16 | 19:48 |
| 2021-22 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.17 | 44 | 19:16 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 |
| May 12 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22:24 |
| May 10 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 |
| May 8 | vs VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:36 |
| May 6 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:27 |
| May 4 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:27 |
| Apr 30 | vs EDMPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:43 |
| Apr 28 | @ EDMPO | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 |
| Apr 26 | vs EDMPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:17 |
| Apr 24 | vs EDMPO | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18:50 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 17.6 | 15 | minus 2.6 goals above expected | 81 | 214 |
| 2024-25 | 15.9 | 19 | plus 3.1 goals above expected | 74 | 204 |
| 2023-24 | 17.8 | 18 | plus 0.2 goals above expected | 60 | 203 |
| 2022-23 | 20.3 | 27 | plus 6.7 goals above expected | 75 | 186 |
| 2021-22 | 24.7 | 25 | plus 0.3 goals above expected | 74 | 224 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 goals, 15 assists, 27 points | 3 goals, 2 assists, 5 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 18 goals, 14 assists, 32 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2023-24 | 13 goals, 16 assists, 29 points | 5 goals, 2 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 23 goals, 27 assists, 50 points | 3 goals, 9 assists, 12 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2021-22 | 18 goals, 26 assists, 44 points | 7 goals, 8 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
214 attempts · 15 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.