Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Zach Bogosian

MIN·D#24

vsVAN

Latest captured market

Apr 2 · 8:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 323 game sample

PTS: 13.4
SOG: 73.1
G: 3.5

A: 9.9
PPP: 0.1
HIT: 105.0
BLK: 79.8
PIM: 46.9

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 323 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 323 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 323 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.16
G: 0.04
A: 0.12
SOG: 0.89
PPP: 0.00
HIT: 1.28
BLK: 0.98
PIM: 0.57

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	41	2	4	6	0.15	30	14:32
2024-25	81	4	12	16	0.20	79	15:49
2023-24	65	3	11	14	0.22	83	17:53
2022-23	46	1	4	5	0.11	54	14:59
2021-22	48	3	5	8	0.17	60	15:22

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	9	0	0	0.00	3	12:45
2024-25	6	1	1	0.17	2	13:00
2022-23	5	1	1	0.20	6	12:47
2021-22	22	3	3	0.14	20	12:34

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	HIT	BLK	PIM	TOI
May 11	vs COLPO	0	1	0	2	9:26
May 9	vs COLPO	1	1	0	0	13:18
May 3	@ COLPO	0	1	0	0	15:02
Apr 30	vs DALPO	0	0	2	0	11:37
Apr 28	@ DALPO	0	1	2	0	16:04
Apr 25	vs DALPO	2	3	2	0	14:06
Apr 22	vs DALPO	0	0	0	0	11:09
Apr 20	@ DALPO	0	1	0	2	11:04
Apr 18	@ DALPO	0	2	2	0	13:01
Apr 4	@ OTT	0	2	1	2	14:08

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	1.2	2	plus 0.8 goals above expected	31	49
2024-25	2.5	4	plus 1.5 goals above expected	65	122
2023-24	3.1	3	minus 0.1 goals above expected	56	122
2022-23	2.3	1	minus 1.3 goals above expected	33	73
2021-22	2.9	3	plus 0.1 goals above expected	34	76

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points	0-0-0	0-0-0
2024-25	4 goals, 11 assists, 15 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2023-24	3 goals, 10 assists, 13 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2022-23	1 goal, 4 assists, 5 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2021-22	3 goals, 5 assists, 8 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

49 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (19)Shot on goal (28)Goal (2)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.