Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 334 game sample- PTS
- 27.2
- SOG
- 109.3
- G
- 6.8
- A
- 20.3
- PPP
- 7.3
- HIT
- 79.2
- BLK
- 148.7
- PIM
- 16.3
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 334 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 334 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 334 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.33
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.25
- SOG
- 1.33
- PPP
- 0.09
- HIT
- 0.96
- BLK
- 1.82
- PIM
- 0.20
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 79 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 0.28 | 90 | 19:35 |
| 2024-25 | 66 | 7 | 25 | 32 | 0.48 | 107 | 20:27 |
| 2023-24 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0.31 | 21 | 23:20 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 11 | 23 | 34 | 0.43 | 149 | 21:49 |
| 2021-22 | 65 | 10 | 30 | 40 | 0.62 | 116 | 21:09 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 11 | 21:01 |
| 2024-25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 12 | 22:52 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | 7 | 24:07 |
| 2021-22 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.50 | 9 | 20:34 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 22:48 |
| May 11 | vs COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 |
| May 9 | vs COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17:36 |
| May 5 | @ COLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:56 |
| May 3 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18:11 |
| Apr 30 | vs DALPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:54 |
| Apr 28 | @ DALPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 21:29 |
| Apr 25 | vs DALPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26:40 |
| Apr 22 | vs DALPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 33:30 |
| Apr 20 | @ DALPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16:49 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 7 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5.1 | 6 | plus 0.9 goals above expected | 65 | 130 |
| 2024-25 | 5.4 | 7 | plus 1.6 goals above expected | 62 | 155 |
| 2023-24 | 1.3 | 0 | minus 1.3 goals above expected | 12 | 29 |
| 2022-23 | 10.3 | 11 | plus 0.7 goals above expected | 69 | 212 |
| 2021-22 | 6.6 | 10 | plus 3.4 goals above expected | 60 | 157 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 goals, 12 assists, 16 points | 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 6 goals, 17 assists, 23 points | 1 goal, 8 assists, 9 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 10 goals, 19 assists, 29 points | 1 goal, 3 assists, 4 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 10 goals, 16 assists, 26 points | 0 goals, 14 assists, 14 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
130 attempts · 6 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 7
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.